An unbiased analysis of Nigeria if an Obi or a Tinubu or an Atiku wins

Atiku: Nigeria will experience heavy privatization, there will be heavy flow of capital by foreign investors, the economy will grow but slowly. His ministers and advisers will be brilliant but power drunk minds. Food inflation will come down slightly. There will be new northern billionaires. The constitution will not be touched. He will use the EFCC and other antigraft agencies to hunt his enemies.

Atiku’s pitfall: There will be massive corruption, only a particular set of people will be very rich but the general population will not suffer much. There will be heavy money laundering. If you are in the PDP, you will have an easy ride with impunity.

Atiku’s Security: He will meet the bandits in the middle, Security threats will be heavily curbed but there will be pocket sizes of security issues here and there that will be handled by the Nigerian forces.

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Tinubu: His chief of staff will run the show, the good thing will be that his chief of staff will be a fine administrator like Fashola or Tunde Fowler, there will be economic transformation using local products especially in the Western region of Nigeria, law and order will be experienced in some regions though people will be stressed a bit but it will be for the greater good if he runs only one term. There will be enactment of developmental policies. Regions will be given the freedom to run their policing system. There will be economic competition amongst regions in Nigeria though the West will be leading in IGR. NIgeria will do more business with African nations than western nations. China will penetrate our economic system and there will be massive support from China. Though we will not become the peak of our potential, hard working people will survive.

Tinubu’s Pitfall: Many global organizations will not do business with Nigeria, his team will struggle to uphold viable policies, corruption will increase but it will be very hidden. People will have to work extra hard to live well. His team will be one sided but they will all be experts and brilliant guys. There will be huge clash of interest within his team, power toggle and Tinubu will be too weak to intervene. He will be hardly around to talk to the people. He will focus more on his health but his chief of staff will be very active and effective.

Tinubu’s Security: Because he will play a regional game, the north will be antagonist towards his leadership, there will be heavy insecurity inbalance to the point that Lagos will be threatened but no major attack will come to Lagos. His vice president will not be able to fix anything in terms of security.

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Obi: His ministers will be world-class, highly educated and innovative, there will be a huge economic transformation in both the agricultural and manufacturing sectors within one year of his government, many powerbrokers will either accept an economic amnesty or be exposed and disgraced. There will be educational transformation even to the rural areas, many people’s eyes will be opened and government processes will be so transparent that the next government will not be able to steal easily (a lesson he learnt from the Obiano effect). There will be so much monies in the land because he will be frugal, he will drastically cut the cost of running the executive arm of government so that the legislative arm will have no choice but to follow same.

Government system will adopt blockchain technology.

There will be massive call back of legislators because Obi will sponsor many great policies and constitutional amendments but some lawmakers will oppose the progressive policies then Obi will sponsor a huge communication campaign using all tools available to his government to expose the wickedness of these legislators.

Poverty will drastically be curbed in the first year. His acceptance rating will be high due to his formidable interactive leadership style. He will deploy his strength to visiting all regions of Nigeria interacting with common people and empowering them thus bypassing many bureaucratic processes.

Obi’s Security: He will empower the military, police and other forces, he will deregulate the police with an executive order and make all governors sign a responsibility agreement. Security threats will disappear in the first two years of his leadership.

Obi’s Pitfall: Western communities like Europe will be threatened by Obi’s change, developmental policies and roadmap towards a great Nigeria, they will use exogenous forces to want to thwart his government’s effort they will use foreign media but Obi will align himself with the enemy of the common enemy.

The Ibo’s will first misjudge his antecedents for manufacturing in Aba and Onitcha, they will want to dominate the polity but Obi will call them to order.